报告题目：The Effect of Driving Restriction on Air Pollution—A counterfactual analysis

报告人：郭萌萌，西南财经大学经济与管理研究院副教授、博士生导师

时间：2015年5月7日上午9：00-10：30

地点：yl6809永利官网602会议室

报告人简介：郭萌萌，2012年德国柏林洪堡大学获经济学博士学位，现任西南财经大学经济与管理研究院副教授、博士生导师。主要研究方向为：应用微观计量经济学、金融计量学、非参数分析、函数数据分析等。主持国家自科科学青年基金项目一项，发表国际权威SCI和国内CSSCI期刊多篇。

Abstract: A few major cities in China recently have implemented driving restriction policy (DRP), mainly due to the air pollution and traffic jam issues. This paper investigates the effect of the driving restriction policy on the reduction in air pollution. Different from the commonly used approaches in previous studies, such as regression discontinuity regression and difference-in-differences, we construct the counterfactuals for the air pollution index (API) for these cities which have implemented DRP using the method proposed by Hsiao, Ching and Wan(2012). Other cities of the 35 major cities without the DRP are treated as the possible control cities. We analyze both the weekly API and the daily API to evaluate the effect of DRP, and the results show: that the DRP has a significant effect on decreasing the APIs of Beijing, Guiyang and Chengdu, while the effects on reducing the APIs in Nanchang, Changchun and Hangzhou are not statistically significant.